2024
Santos, Bianca, Elliott Hazen, Heather Welch, Nerea Lezama-Ochoa, Barbara Block, Daniel Costa, Scott Shaffer, Larry Crowder. “Beyond boundaries: governance considerations for climate-driven habitat shifts of highly migratory marine species across jurisdictions”. npj Ocean Sustainability. DOI: 10.1038/s44183-024-00059-5 (2024). [link]
Farchardi, Nima, Heather Welch, Camrin D. Brawn, Andrew J. Allyn, Steven J. Bograd, Stephanie Brodie, Elliott L. Hazen, Alex Kerney, Nerea Lezama-Ochoa, Katherine E. Mills, Dylan Pugh, Riley Young-Morse, Rebecca L. Lewison. Marine heatwaves redistribute pelagic fishing fleets. Fish and Fisheries. DOI: 10.1111/faf.12828 (2024). [link]
Cimino, Megan A., Heather Welch, Santora, Kroodsma, Hazen, Bograd, Warzybok, Jahncke, Shaffer. Tracked gulls help identify potential zones of interaction between whales and shipping traffic. Marine Ornithology, 52: 61-67 (2024). [link]
Welch, Heather, Tyler Clavelle, Timothy White, Megan Cimino, David Kroodsma, & Elliott Hazen. Unseen overlap between fishing vessels and top predators in the northeast Pacific. Science Advances, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adl5528 (2024). [link]
2023
, Stephanie Bodie, , Michael G. Jacox, Mercedes , Jerome , Megan , & Elliott Divergent responses of highly migratory species to climate change in the California Current. Diversity and Distributions, 00, 1–14 (2023). [link]
Brodie, Steph, Mercedes Pozo Buil, Heather Welch, Steven J. Bograd, Elliott L. Hazen, Jarrod A. Santora, Rachel Seary, Isaac D. Schroeder, and Michael G. Jacox. “Ecological forecasts for marine resource management during climate extremes”. Nature Communications 14, no 7701 (2023). [link]
Welch, Heather, Owen R. Liu, Leena Riekkola, Briana Abrahms, Elliott L. Hazen, and Jameal F. Samhouri. “Selection of planning unit size in dynamic management strategies to reduce human‐wildlife conflict.” Conservation Biology (2023). https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14201 [link]
Welch, Heather, Matthew S. Savoca, Stephanie Brodie, Michael G. Jacox, Barbara A. Muhling, Thomas A. Clay, Megan A. Cimino et al. “Impacts of marine heatwaves on top predator distributions are variable but predictable.” Nature Communications 14, no. 1 (2023): 5188. [link]
Rubbens, Peter, Stephanie Brodie, Tristan Cordier, Diogo Destro Barcellos, Paul Devos, Jose A. Fernandes-Salvador, Jennifer I. Fincham, Heather Welch, et al. “Machine learning in marine ecology: an overview of techniques and applications.” ICES Journal of Marine Science 80, no. 7 (2023): 1829-1853. [link]
Braun, Camrin D., Nerea Lezama-Ochoa, Nima Farchadi, Martin C. Arostegui, Michael Alexander, Andrew Allyn, Steven J. Bograd, Heather Welch, et al. “Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean.” Science Advances 9, no. 32 (2023): eadi2718. [link]
Braun, Camrin D., Martin C. Arostegui, Nima Farchadi, Michael Alexander, Pedro Afonso, Andrew Allyn, Steven J. Bograd, Heather Welch, et al. “Building use‐inspired species distribution models: Using multiple data types to examine and improve model performance.” Ecological Applications (2023): e2893. [link]
Adamson, Adewole S., Heather Welch, and H. Gilbert Welch. “Melanoma Incidence by Sex, Indoor Tanning, and Body Site—Reply.” JAMA Internal Medicine 183, no. 4 (2023): 390-391. [link]
Smith, James A., Mercedes Pozo Buil, Barbara Muhling, Desiree Tommasi, Stephanie Brodie, Timothy H. Frawley, Jerome Fiechter, Heather Welch, et al. “Projecting climate change impacts from physics to fisheries: A view from three California Current fisheries.” Progress in Oceanography 211 (2023): 102973. [link]
Frawley, Timothy H., Barbara Muhling, Stephanie Brodie, Hannah Blondin, Heather Welch, Martin C. Arostegui, Steven J. Bograd et al. “Dynamic human, oceanographic, and ecological factors mediate transboundary fishery overlap across the Pacific high seas.” Fish and Fisheries (2023). [link]
2022
Welch, Heather, Tyler Clavelle, Timothy D. White, Megan A. Cimino, Jennifer Van Osdel, Timothy Hochberg, David Kroodsma, and Elliott L. Hazen. “Hot spots of unseen fishing vessels.” Science Advances 8, no. 44 (2022): eabq2109. [link]
Adamson, Adewole S., Heather Welch, and H. Gilbert Welch. “Association of UV radiation exposure, diagnostic scrutiny, and melanoma incidence in US counties.” JAMA Internal Medicine 182, no. 11 (2022): 1181-1189. [link]
Frawley, Timothy H., Barbara Muhling, Heather Welch, Katherine L. Seto, Shui-Kai Chang, Francisco Blaha, Quentin Hanich et al. “Clustering of disaggregated fisheries data reveals functional longline fleets across the Pacific.” One Earth 5, no. 9 (2022): 1002-1018. [link]
Cimino, Megan A., Scott A. Shaffer, Heather Welch, Jarrod A. Santora, Pete Warzybok, Jaime Jahncke, Isaac Schroeder, Elliott L. Hazen, and Steven J. Bograd. “Western Gull Foraging Behavior as an Ecosystem State Indicator in Coastal California.” Frontiers in Marine Science 8 (2022): 790559. [link]
2021
Hazen, Elliott L., Briana Abrahms, Stephanie Brodie, Gemma Carroll, Heather Welch, and Steven J. Bograd. “Where did they not go? Considerations for generating pseudo-absences for telemetry-based habitat models.” Movement Ecology 9 (2021): 1-13. [link]
Breece, Matthew W., Matthew J. Oliver, Dewayne A. Fox, Edward A. Hale, Danielle E. Haulsee, Matthew Shatley, Steven J. Bograd, Elliott L. Hazen, and Heather Welch. “A satellite‐based mobile warning system to reduce interactions with an endangered species.” Ecological Applications 31, no. 6 (2021): e02358. [link]
Brodie, Stephanie, Briana Abrahms, Steven J. Bograd, Gemma Carroll, Elliott L. Hazen, Barbara A. Muhling, Mercedes Pozo Buil, James A. Smith, Heather Welch, and Michael G. Jacox. “Exploring timescales of predictability in species distributions.” Ecography 44, no. 6 (2021): 832-844. [link]
Smith, James A., Desiree Tommasi, Heather Welch, Elliott L. Hazen, Jonathan Sweeney, Stephanie Brodie, Barbara Muhling, Stephen M. Stohs, and Michael G. Jacox. “Comparing dynamic and static time-area closures for bycatch mitigation: a management strategy evaluation of a swordfish fishery.” Frontiers in Marine Science 8 (2021): 630607. [link]
2020
Becker, Elizabeth A., James V. Carretta, Karin A. Forney, Jay Barlow, Stephanie Brodie, Ryan Hoopes, Michael G. Jacox, Heather Welch, et al. “Performance evaluation of cetacean species distribution models developed using generalized additive models and boosted regression trees.” Ecology and evolution 10, no. 12 (2020): 5759-5784. [link]
Savoca, Matthew S., Stephanie Brodie, Heather Welch, Aimee Hoover, Lee R. Benaka, Steven J. Bograd, and Elliott L. Hazen. “Comprehensive bycatch assessment in US fisheries for prioritizing management.” Nature Sustainability 3, no. 6 (2020): 472-480. [link]
Welch, Heather, S. Brodie, M. G. Jacox, D. Robinson, C. Wilson, S. J. Bograd, M. J. Oliver, and E. L. Hazen. “Considerations for transferring an operational dynamic ocean management tool between ocean color products.” Remote sensing of Environment 242 (2020): 111753. [link]
Welch, Heather, Stephanie Brodie, Michael G. Jacox, Steven J. Bograd, and Elliott L. Hazen. “Decision‐support tools for dynamic management.” Conservation Biology 34, no. 3 (2020): 589-599. [link]
Smith, James A., Desiree Tommasi, Jonathan Sweeney, Stephanie Brodie, Heather Welch, Elliott L. Hazen, Barbara Muhling, Steven M. Stohs, and Michael G. Jacox. “Lost opportunity: quantifying the dynamic economic impact of time‐area fishery closures.” Journal of Applied Ecology 57, no. 3 (2020): 502-513. [link]
2019
McHenry, Jennifer, Heather Welch, Sarah E. Lester, and Vincent Saba. “Projecting marine species range shifts from only temperature can mask climate vulnerability.” Global Change Biology 25, no. 12 (2019): 4208-4221. [link]
Abrahms, Briana, Heather Welch, Stephanie Brodie, Michael G. Jacox, Elizabeth A. Becker, Steven J. Bograd, Ladd M. Irvine, Daniel M. Palacios, Bruce R. Mate, and Elliott L. Hazen. “Dynamic ensemble models to predict distributions and anthropogenic risk exposure for highly mobile species.” Diversity and Distributions 25, no. 8 (2019): 1182-1193. [link]
Maxwell, Sara M., Kylie L. Scales, Steven J. Bograd, Dana K. Briscoe, Heidi Dewar, Elliott L. Hazen, Rebecca L. Lewison, Heather Welch, and Larry B. Crowder. “Seasonal spatial segregation in blue sharks (Prionace glauca) by sex and size class in the Northeast Pacific Ocean.” Diversity and Distributions 25, no. 8 (2019): 1304-1317. [link]
Welch, Heather, Elliott L. Hazen, Dana K. Briscoe, Steven J. Bograd, Michael G. Jacox, Tomoharu Eguchi, Scott R. Benson et al. “Environmental indicators to reduce loggerhead turtle bycatch offshore of Southern California.” Ecological Indicators 98 (2019): 657-664. [link]
Welch, Heather, Elliott L. Hazen, Steven J. Bograd, Michael G. Jacox, Stephanie Brodie, Dale Robinson, Kylie L. Scales, Lynn Dewitt, and Rebecca Lewison. “Practical considerations for operationalizing dynamic management tools.” Journal of Applied Ecology 56, no. 2 (2019): 459-469. [link]
2018
Hazen, E. L., K. L. Scales, S. M. Maxwell, D. K. Briscoe, Heather Welch, S. J. Bograd, H. Bailey et al. “A dynamic ocean management tool to reduce bycatch and support sustainable fisheries. Sci Adv 4: eaar3001.” (2018). [link]
Welch, Heather, and Jennifer McHenry. “Planning for dynamic process: An assemblage‐level surrogate strategy for species seasonal movement pathways.” Aquatic Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems 28, no. 2 (2018): 337-350. [link]
Welch, Heather, Robert L. Pressey, and April E. Reside. “Using temporally explicit habitat suitability models to assess threats to mobile species and evaluate the effectiveness of marine protected areas.” Journal for Nature Conservation 41 (2018): 106-115. [link]
Brodie, Stephanie, Michael G. Jacox, Steven J. Bograd, Heather Welch, Heidi Dewar, Kylie L. Scales, Sara M. Maxwell et al. “Integrating dynamic subsurface habitat metrics into species distribution models.” Frontiers in Marine Science (2018): 219. [link]
2016
Welch, Heather, Robert L. Pressey, Scott F. Heron, Daniela M. Ceccarelli, and Alistair J. Hobday. “Regimes of chlorophyll‐a in the Coral Sea: Implications for evaluating adequacy of marine protected areas.” Ecography 39, no. 3 (2016): 289-304. [link]